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Hold2
***New Chart*** AZ-FL-TX Date of Death vs. Reported Date of Death: 8/1/20 This is something I wanted to see for myself. This is the 1st step towards modifying the national "reported deaths" trend line, which I will do next. - Areas are stacked - Lines are stacked - 7-day Avgs
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Hold2 Aug 1
Replying to @Hold2LLC
Take note that the dropoff on Date of Death curves are not to be taken as major death declines. Those areas just are not filled in yet and will rise/fill over time. However, all 3 are at or near peak on Date of Death, so I do expect declines (just not this steep/dramatic)
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Hold2 Aug 1
Replying to @Hold2LLC
Here's the first revision of this chart. Some of the data is updated, but the main change is chopping off the last 14 days of Date of Death so it doesn't show the improper decline. There may be a decline, but we don't know. What we DO know is these 14 days will have deaths added
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Hold2 Aug 1
Probably true for many. I don't interact with Rep Biggs or other congresspersons directly, but I have seen Rep Biggs attempt to understand and follow the underlying data. He seems to understand much better than most. He sees my daily Date of Death chart for AZ showing 14-day lag
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Tim Aug 1
Replying to @Hold2LLC
Hold, doesn’t this show that reported has generally been under-reporting once the date of death fills in? Am I misreading?
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MidNight T0kR Aug 1
Replying to @CoonTim @Hold2LLC
It shows that old deaths are being displayed as new deaths. The local counties couldn’t keep up for some reason. Some death certificates take longer to confirm. It’s legacy data laundering and our local/state/federal governments are not doing a good job of ethical communication.
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Hold2 Aug 1
There's no consistent timeframe. A colleague just showed TX add deaths to 103 separate days I've shown AZ add to 20-30 separate days several times, and it's almost always in the teens. Just look at this spread (pic).
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#RaiderNation Aug 1
Replying to @Hold2LLC
Silly clarification question. The lines indicate the number of deaths reported on a give date and the areas are the actual deaths for the given dates, which can change due to delays in reporting, correct? Thanks!!!
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Hold2 Aug 1
Replying to @R8DR__Nation
Correct on all. Not silly.
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