Twitter | Search | |
Damian Lyons Lowe Nov 1
On behalf of Simon Walters at Daily Mail, we have polled the seat many in the media have described as a "must win" in this election as an indicator for Conservative fortunes in parts of the north of England - Workington in Cumbria.
Reply Retweet Like
Damian Lyons Lowe Nov 1
Replying to @Will_Tanner
The "Workington Man" moniker has been used to describe this voter type, originally by . Beyond the high street vox pops of questionable value, We've polled Workington Man (men) and Workington Women this week via telephone interview to provide some quantitative data.
Reply Retweet Like
Damian Lyons Lowe
Our polling indicates that In a General Election "tomorrow" the Conservative Party's candidate Mark Jenkinson would win the seat from Labour with an 11 point lead over the current incumbent Sue Hayman.
Reply Retweet Like More
Damian Lyons Lowe Nov 1
Replying to @Will_Tanner
Workington Man" breaks strongly Conservative - 49% will vote Conservative vs 27% supporting Labour. Although "Workington Woman" prefers Labour (42%) to the Conservatives (39%) this small Labour lead among women does not counteract the strong preference for Conservatives among men
Reply Retweet Like
Damian Lyons Lowe Nov 1
Replying to @Will_Tanner
Brexit dominates voter minds in terms of most important issue deciding GE vote in Workington. Our interviewers had 506 conversations with Workington residents on their top voting issue and recorded their opinions verbatim:
Reply Retweet Like
Damian Lyons Lowe Nov 1
Replying to @Will_Tanner
Elsewhere in the poll:
Reply Retweet Like
Damian Lyons Lowe Nov 1
Replying to @Will_Tanner
Full data tables are available here: Simon Walters' article on the data can be found here:
Reply Retweet Like
Damian Lyons Lowe Nov 1
Replying to @Will_Tanner
To be clear on the voting dynamics, according to the polling in this seat. Since the 2017 GE. 19% of Labour's 2017 vote has switched to the Conservative Party, with only 5% Conservative 2017 voters switching to Labour.
Reply Retweet Like
Damian Lyons Lowe Nov 1
Replying to @Will_Tanner
(Small numbers) but almost 2/3rds of those voting Brexit Party in 2019 said they will vote Conservative in 2019. (Small numbers) but current Brexit Party voters came via LAB & CON 2017 past vote evenly. The Brexit Party is not altering the dynamic of the LAB/CON race here.
Reply Retweet Like
Damian Lyons Lowe Nov 1
Replying to @Will_Tanner
And it's goodnight from me. So where shall we poll next?
Reply Retweet Like
Derek McGavigan 🔶 #StopBrexit Nov 1
Undecided at 25% removed and a sample of 506? This poll is almost worthless!
Reply Retweet Like
Derek McGavigan 🔶 #StopBrexit Nov 1
Also unweighted, got more 2017 Tory voters than Labour in a seat they won by 10%! Joke poll!
Reply Retweet Like
Steve Nov 1
Election is not for 6 weeks projections for tomorrow or today are worthless.
Reply Retweet Like