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Morris Meyer Jul 24
HD40 Likely R = LOL
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Kyle Gasser Jul 24
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Drew Savicki Jul 24
These are joke ratings, right? HD-39 gave Tim Kaine over 70% of the vote.
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Uncrewed Jul 24
The R is out-raising the D I guess, but that's only by $6,000 in a CLINTON +37 DISTRICT.
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JMizzle Jul 24
I’m surprised to see so many dem held tossups. I was under the impression the new map was more favorable to them.
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Kraz Greinetz Jul 24
Ya I mean, realistically to hold the HOD, R’s would have to outperform the presidential baseline in a way that basically only a handful of individual candidates have done since 2016. Not impossible, but they basically need like 10 Katko’s.
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Benjamin Jul 24
You should be happy the house and the Senate are controlled and will be controlled bt Democrats in January of 2020. Why is the results a joke it shows democrats are expanding there majorities at a much faster pace then Republicans are.
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Andrew Palmer Jul 24
Idk how the ground in HD-12 is right now but tbh I forgot even had an opponent when I was there, which is how bad that candidate is doing.
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MettaWorldMaps Jul 24
These ratings are not very good.
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Ryan Kotrch Jul 24
As someone who lives in the 91st I'd put it in tilt or likely Dem. Martha Mugler (Hampton School Board Member) is well known in the district (especially Hampton where the majority of the district is) compared to Colleen Holcomb the GOP Nominee. Mugler is dominating the sign war.
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Ryan Kotrch Jul 24
I think Delegate Helsel (my old boss) is one of the few Republicans who could hold that seat but with his retirement and the redistricting it is much more Dem than before.
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Next Election Aug 20: PA HD-85 and SC HD-19 Jul 24
He believes it will be a GOP year in 2019 due to no top ticket and Dems staying home.
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Ben Tribbett Jul 24
And has a very strong longtime incumbent. So it’s likely. Those precincts voted R at local level last off off year in only contested race btw.
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Unironic Marianne Williamson fan Jul 25
It is don't listen to Tribett on anything.
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jet-sy Jul 25
Generally speaking, I think most ratings seem to understand the dynamics and demographics relatively well but regularly showcase how little NOVA Dems understand Hampton Roads + the Eastern Shore. (No offense, Ben).
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jet-sy Jul 25
HD-91 (my district) will likely be written off by House Republicans and resources moved by October. Martha Mugler is a well-known commodity and has massive cross party appeal. Holcomb has not campaigned *at all* and has no name recognition.
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Paolo Lim Jul 25
In other words, Ds are in bigger danger than conventional wosdom suggests.
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Drew Sutton Jul 25
Tim Hugo and Dave LaRock should not have the same rating...
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Ben Tribbett Jul 25
Yeah, one is likely/safe borderline and one is leans/likely borderline.
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