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Anton Eberhard
Energy/infrastructure policy & investment specialist & advisor. Professor Emeritus and Senior Scholar, Power Futures Lab, GSB, University of Cape Town
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Anton Eberhard Aug 21
Replying to @GwedeMantashe1
It’s not only utility-scale renewable energy projects that can make a difference in the next 3 years. If Minister & NERSA freed up the market for small-scale distributed generation (<10MW) it would catalyze huge investment, contributing to supply security in SA
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Anton Eberhard Aug 21
The electricity demand-supply balance in South Africa is extremely tight. The last utility-scale power procurement was way back in November 2015. Only options that can come online within 3 years are solar, wind and batteries. Time for REIPP5 Minister ?
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Anton Eberhard Aug 20
A growing number of Independent Power Projects in South Africa are signing up MIGA political insurance. Sign of our times. Means cost of capital goes up and next bid rounds will be more expensive than need be
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Anton Eberhard Aug 19
SA ranked second worst hotspot for deadly sulphur dioxide (SO2) via
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Anton Eberhard retweeted
World of Engineering Aug 18
Wind turbine blades transported on trucks in China
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Anton Eberhard Aug 18
Replying to @hallaboutafrica
I don’t think you’re right. The DRC, Tanzania, Uganda and Kenya have more
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Anton Eberhard Aug 13
Replying to @HlathiZak
Actually, Eskom did run a competitive RfP for nuclear power in 2008 and bid prices were so high it decided not to proceed. Imagine if they had; the utility’s debt would be triple what it is now and South Africa would be in the hands of the IMF.
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Anton Eberhard Aug 13
Replying to @AntonEberhard
7/ So, when you hear talk of a ‘balanced’ energy mix, or ‘using all our energy resources’ understand that policy choices are being avoided & cover is given for vested interests. What SA now needs is bold planning & investment choices in support of transparent policy goals
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Anton Eberhard Aug 13
Replying to @AntonEberhard
6/ Of course, political-economy factors will also shape our electricity planning & investments & we’ll need to work wisely with power, interests, institutions, ideology & knowledge, and show transparently the costs or benefits to our economy & society of different choices
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Anton Eberhard Aug 13
Replying to @AntonEberhard
5/ So those who argue that we need a ‘balanced energy supply’ are fudging policy choices & providing cover for vested interests. Policy-making involves choices against agreed goals. We can quickly agree on those (see above) and focus on planning methodologies & reliable data
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Anton Eberhard Aug 13
Replying to @AntonEberhard
4/ The obvious way of cutting thru vested interests is to agree on objectives for the electricity sector: an adequate, reliable electricity supply at competitive prices to support economic and social development. We can add environmental, manufacturing, jobs & empowerment goals
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Anton Eberhard Aug 13
Replying to @AntonEberhard
3/ The objective function of IRP electricity planning models is the least cost supply mix to meet a defined reliability standard. Additional boundary conditions can be set such as meeting minimal environmental standards, and maximisation of local manufacturing and job creation
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Anton Eberhard Aug 13
Replying to @AntonEberhard
2/ Many who criticize Integrated Resource Planning Models don’t understand how they work. IRP models assess every hour of demand and supply over a year and select the optimal mix of supply options which result in adequate and reliable electricity supply at the least cost
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Anton Eberhard Aug 13
1/ South Africa’s electricity planning continues to be paralyzed by vested interests. All planning models of the past decade, with the objective function of a least-cost, RELIABLE power system have never selected nuclear, but some still push it regardless
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Anton Eberhard Aug 7
JOHN MAYER Live [HD] Ain't No Sunshine via
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Anton Eberhard Aug 7
Bill Withers - Ain't No Sunshine (Official Video) via
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Anton Eberhard Aug 7
Bill Withers Stevie Wonder Ain't No Sunshine Rock & Roll Hall of Fame 20... via
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Anton Eberhard Aug 6
This labour action today by National Energy Regulator of South Africa employees is ill-advised. Government’s not amused with recent NERSA decisions & will seek reforms. In February it gave Eskom R23bn equity but NERSA subtracted & bizarrely it became a tariff subsidy to consumers
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Anton Eberhard Aug 5
The National Energy Regulator of South Africa awarded Eskom R24.2 billion through its tariff determination for 2018/19 to pay for the power purchase agreements with renewable energy IPPs. So Eskom actually made a R 2 billion profit. Eskom has never under-recovered IPP costs
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Anton Eberhard Aug 4
Dam levels in Cape Town are recovering. See the dark blue line in this graph for 2019. Already up to 72% and season peak is only in September. But city has to plan for resilience in the face of climate change. Good work is being done
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