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Alex Berenson Mar 26
1/ This is a remarkable turn from Neil Ferguson, who led the authors who warned of 500,000 UK deaths - and who has now himself tested positive for ;
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Alex Berenson
2/ He now says both that the U.K. should have enough ICU beds and that the coronavirus will probably kill under 20,000 people in the U.K. - more than 1/2 of whom would have died by the end of the year in any case bc they were so old and sick.
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Alex Berenson Mar 26
Replying to @AlexBerenson
3/ Essentially, what has happened is that estimates of the viruses transmissibility have increased - which implies that many more people have already gotten it than we realize - which in turn implies it is less dangerous.
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Alex Berenson Mar 26
Replying to @AlexBerenson
4/ Ferguson now predicts that the epidemic in the U.K. will peak and subside within “two to three weeks” - last week’s paper said 18+ months of quarantine would be necessary.
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Alex Berenson Mar 26
Replying to @AlexBerenson
5/ One last point here: Ferguson gives the lockdown credit, which is *interesting* - the UK only began ita lockdown 2 days ago, and the theory is that lockdowns take 2 weeks or more to work.
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Alex Berenson Mar 26
Replying to @AlexBerenson
6/ Not surprisingly, this testimony has received no attention in the US - I found it only in UK papers. Team Apocalypse is not interested.
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Lady Penquin Mar 26
"more than 1/2 of whom would have died by the end of the yr in any case bc they were so old&sick." This is actually based in fact. Malignant doesn't talk about the #'s we lose yearly to flu/pneumonia - especially the old.
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Tricoteuse #FBPE Apr 1
About 20% require hospitalisation, 10% - admittance to ICU, and 2% will die. These percentages are of total number of cases. Whichever way you slice and dice it, hospitals are overloaded rn, and peak is at least two weeks away 🤷‍♂️
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NJC Mar 26
Replying to @AlexBerenson
It’s been a hysterical over reaction driven by yet more crap modelling from SAGE who have a track record of this. Ferguson is now trying to cover his arse as he’s managed to crash the economy and knows there will be a reckoning. He should be put against the wall for this.
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Visit with Naj Mar 26
Replying to @NJC1300 @AlexBerenson
I'm a grey hair, I can help. Put him up against the wall I mean!
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Erik Jonker Mar 26
...only forgetting lung damage to many people who recover
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Dwaipayan Roychoudhury Mar 26
Including renal failure too.
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